アルゴリズムと機械の外国為替戦略 | OneStepRemoved

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毎日グラフの取引戦略

8 月 9, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス 5 コメント

トレーダーとして私の進化パターンに気づく必要があります。. 私の手動の取引の経験は、時間枠を移動されています。, 取引外国為替のロボットのために入ったのに. 最初, 短いタイム フレームに皮むきとみた, H1 ・ H4 の時間枠での取引日. 私は本当に自分のライフ スタイルに取引に合わせて方法を見つけることができるされていなかったので, 私の次の停止だった毎日のタイム フレーム.

毎日チャート取引

大規模なアカウント、取引の大きな選手だけだった毎日の時間枠を取引と思った. 毎日の時間枠より低い時間枠のより大きい損失を停止を使用する必要がありますのでこれと思った. ちょうど毎日チャートを取引だけに収益性の高いことができます事実で私の頭を包むことができませんでした。. その後、, について多くを学んだとき お金の管理, 私は小さなアカウントで素敵な利益のためこのタイプの取引を取引がどのように理解.

短いタイム フレームでは、タイトなストップを使用できます。. つまりその価格はいくつかの良い利益を拾うあなたのおかげでそこまでする必要ないです。. 価格も相当な損失だけでなく、これまで移動する必要はありません。.

高い時間枠の価格は、同じ結果を得るために多くを移動する必要があります。. 少ない取引より短いタイム フレームでより通常置くことを終了するとき, セットアップは強く、長期的に同じように黒字にすることができます。. 正しい設定のため待っていると貿易市場に入るとあなたの開発をさせることは我慢する必要は.

基本的には, 1 日 1 回、貿易セットアップを見たところ取引戦略に惹かれました, 毎日の蝋燭の終了時. これは簡単なものを作ったし、貿易したかっただけ決断を 1 日 1 回、実際にチャートを見て、これはセットアップされたかどうかを決定する時間がなかったのでクイック. 短いタイム フレームに, はるかに速く起こるし、迅速な意思決定をする必要.

1 日の取引で私の経験のために, 私はすでに毎日チャート戦略を使用することができることを組み込まれているいくつかの取引ツール. 貿易管理 EA を使用してそれが置かれた後、貿易を管理するが特に好き. 私は、貿易を配置, 損益分岐点にストップを移動する貿易管理 EA を設定します。, 部分的な利益を取るまたは利益のロック, 日に行われていたと.

毎日チャート戦略の例

ここでは、いくつかの毎日のチャートを取引するシステムの例. ここで利益の可能性を見ることができると思う.

EURUSD daily chart

ユーロドルの日足チャート.

EURAUD daily chart

ユーロ/豪ドル日足チャート.

だから, 私の外国為替取引の旅の終わりの毎日のチャートを取引されました。?

まあ, そうでもないです。. あなたが参照してください。, 毎日チャートを取引取引システムで何をするが多い中, 私はまだ満足していませんでした。. 率直に言って, それは少し退屈することができます、あなたはまだこのように貿易に非常に規律するが. 非常に長い時間のための貿易のことができます。, アップとダウン. それに感情的にあなたにそのしわ寄せが行くことができます。.

日足チャート取引戦略を自動化します。

このシリーズの冒頭で, 私は私の旅が外国為替取引のロボットのために始めたことを言った, ロボット開発をする必要がありますが、旅の終わり, なく、始まり. 私の皮むきと日を経て取引フェーズ, 私は、毎日の時間枠で取引するためのロボットを作ると思います. 毎日の時間枠が低い時間枠よりも安定とセットアップが強い. 私アカウントをセットアップし、彼らから離れて歩く完全にできるようになる戦略を取引するエキスパートアドバイザーを作る.

私は、貿易に非常に簡単ですが毎日の時間枠戦略を自動化するのには奇妙に聞こえるかもしれない知っています。. しかし真実は, 私を悩ます大きな pip が上下にスイングを見て. ロボットを使用してこの問題を修正するだろうし、私は確信しているいくつかの年は非常に収益性の高い取引これらの戦略だろう.

エントリおよび終了規則

移動平均: 単純です – 期間を閉じる 3 シフト 3

MA 期間 1: 3
MA モード 1: 1
MA の価格 1: 0
MA 期間 2: 5
MA モード 2: 1
MA の価格 2: 0
RSI: 14

ルール: ろうそくの火を越えるし、MA と RSI の反対側には上を越え既にときに入力、 50 ライン. 絵馬は、反対方向にクロスして終了.

基本的には, これは、 3/5 Rsi はフィルターと EMA のクロス オーバー.

平均時間で, スイング取引や毎日の時間枠を取引について考えるものを教えてください。. 前に毎日の時間枠戦略の自動化について考えたことがあります。?

以下の下でファイルさ: 外国為替市場のしくみ?, 戦略の取引のアイデア

デイトレーディング戦略

8 月 6, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス Leave a Comment

The problem with scalping was the pace. After sitting in front of the charts waiting for a setup to appear and almost being lulled to sleep, a setup would appear and all hell would break loose. All of a sudden my heart was racing and I was glued to screen with every tick of the market. I knew I would burn out trading this way and had to slow things down.

The higher the time frame that you trade, the slower things become and the more time you have to make decisions. したがって, I decided to move to the H1 charts. I had been hearing a lot that “price action is king”, so I decided to try a price action day trading strategy. A support-resistance breakout strategy really appealed to me.

Support – Resistance Breakout Strategy

I’m sure you’ve heard how support turns into resistance or how resistance turns into support. だから, I started trading a strategy where I looked for breaks of support or resistance, then a RE-TEST of that level. If the level held, this would lead to setting up the trade. Here is a photo showing an example trade…

support resistance breakout

あなたが見ることができます。, there was a breakout of the support level. Then that level was retested from below. The level held, so the trade would be entered at the break of the previous swing low. Stop loss is above the support level (in this case above the previous swing high). The take profit level was 1.5 times the stop loss value.

Truth be told, this is a very good price action strategy. 問題があります, I had a very hard time trying to trade it under live market conditions. In order to find at least 1 of these setups during a trading session, I would have to monitor a lot of charts. The whole thing became very time consuming.

Indicator Strategies With Email Alerts

Since I was getting tired of sitting in front of the computer looking for setups, I thought my best option was to look for strategies based on indicators that had email alerts. This way, I could just wait for the alert and go to the computer when there was a setup. Even if the strategy I wanted to trade did not have email alerts, I would send the indicators to a programmer to have email alerts installed.

I went as far as to buy a Blackberry. Unlike the iPhone or Smart Phone, you can set your Blackberry up to notify you when you get an email. This was important because I needed to be notified exactly when the email alert triggered.

I found, or invented, a lot of strategies based on indicators and email alerts. I tried to trade them on the H1 and H4 time frames. But even though most emails triggered at the top of the hour, or every 4 時間, I had a hard time making myself available 24 hours a day to place trades.

Trade Management Robots

Besides having to be near a computer all the time to place the trades when the triggered, I quickly found out that placing the trades was only one of the things I needed to take care of. What about trade management after the trade is placed? Imagine waking up to an email alert a 4 AM, and dragging yourself to the computer to see if you wanted to place the trade. The after the trade was placed, having to sit in the cold and dark while the trade matured so I could Move the stop to breakeven, take partial profits or close the trade.

I have to admit, I had a few Trade Management Robots built, and I love them. This made the trading a lot easier and less stressful. Just place the trade, set the EA up according to my exit rules, and I was done.

しかし, in the end, I still found trading day trading strategies too time consuming. It was as if trading still consumed my life. And this was even with the tricks of using email alerts and trade management robots.

Here’s the thing. I could make money using day trading strategies. I see a lot of people complaining about strategies who say they don’t work. But in my experience, I could find PLENTY of strategies that worked just fine. The problem was fitting the trading into my life. Too often I feel people complain about the strategy, when really it is their inability to trade the strategy properly that is the problem.

Here is what I want you to take away from all this…

There are plenty of strategies that work out there. Most people think all they need to do is find one of these strategies that works, and they will be profitable. しかし真実は, it is more about finding a strategy you can trade properly and fit into your life that matters.

Don’t make the mistake of jumping from one strategy to the next only to find you have the same problem. If the problem is not being able to fit trading into your life, work to fix that problem. Don’t just blame the strategy as switch to another strategy you’ll end up not being able to fit into your life.

If you have a favorite day trading strategy, or found tricks to fit trading into your busy lifestyle, 以下のコメントを残してください。.

以下の下でファイルさ: 外国為替市場のしくみ?

スキャルピング取引戦略

8 月 2, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス 2 コメント

外国為替ロボット ベンダーによって行われた約束のため外国為替に興味を持った. ロボットと私の経験がヒットまたはミス (最高の状態で), 取引のバグは、私がハードにビット.

私と呼ばれる取引形態に出くわした “皮むき”, ほとんどの初心者のトレーダーは、. スキャルピングは “小さな価格変動で多くの利益を作るしようとするトレーディング戦略”, Investopedia.com によると.

市場に入りたいです。, いくつかの簡単な利益を銀行し、市場から抜け出す.

皮むき

スキャルピング取引戦略に私を描いたもの

柔軟性

私は市場で小さな利益後のみ行くと思いますので, 私は、昼夜を問わずいつでも取引することができるだろうと思った. 私は目を覚ます、私は私の朝のコーヒーを楽しんでいくつかのまともなお金を稼ぐことができるだろうと思った. 朝の素晴らしい利益を収集した後感じているどのように素敵な一日の残りの部分を想像します。.

私はまたちょうどいくつかの簡単な利益のための市場に入るためいつを選ぶでしょうかと思った. 私は退屈していた場合, テレビで見て何かを見つけることができなかったか, 私は取引プラットフォームを開くし、いくつかのお金を稼ぐことができます。. 眠ることができません。? ちょうど少数の木びき台を作り、大きな銀行口座と私の顔に笑みを浮かべてベッドをヒット.

速度

だれも一度に数時間のためのコンピューターの前に座って. 皮むきと, 私はこれは私は小さな移動後のみ行くと思いますので問題になるつもりはないと思った. どのくらいが市場に行くにかかると 2-5 自分の好みのピップ, 右?

基本的には, 市場に入りたいです。, いくつかの簡単な利益を銀行し、市場から抜け出す.

スケーラブルな利益

私がちょうどジャンプなら市場でいつでもいくつかの利益を銀行に, 私が作ることができるお金の量は私次第と思った. だけで数分を追加または取引のセッションに私の利益を登ることができます。. 私はより多くを取引と思った, 私が作ることができる多くのお金.

スキャルピング取引戦略と私の経験

ハードは、皮むき!

すぐに皮むきされた表面の見かけよりもはるかに難しい覚えました. 小さな価格を移動した後のみしているにもかかわらず, それはそれらを取得する非常に難しいことができます。. これらの動きの後に行く市場であることのストレスが非常に強い. 市場のすべての目盛りが重要です。; 変動損益計算書に感情的なジェット コースター - トレーダーをプッシュします。. でも、私は勝つだろう, 時々 私が移動に行ったときに市場から取得するために自分を蹴るだろう 50 ピップ以上.

自分で皮むきを学ぶために取るものありませんでした。. だから, 自分自身を考えられて誰かとトレーディング ルームを参加して、 “アクティブです” トレーダー. つまり、彼らは頻繁に市場に入るし、小さい利益を探す. あることを起こったトレード ルーム時間 5 冬の間に朝. 私は冷たい暗闇の中で起きるだろうし、私の妻を邪魔しないようにリビング ルームで私のコンピューターをフック. トレーダーに従ってを試みますが、.

ハードだった!

トレーダー非常に高速に行くし、非常に多くの異なる通貨ペアを一度に見る, 追いつくことができず. 時々 私は勝つだろうし、時に. すぐに皮むきされた芸術を学んだ. あなたはそれを動作させるのに何をしている知っている必要があります。. 後トレード ルームで 1 ヶ月, 私は疲れと私の努力見るには少しいた. 私のためだけではないが皮むき.

スキャルピング取引戦略についての私の結論

時間がかかる

一方、市場での小動きをお探しのみ, 必要があります、 スキャルピング取引戦略 それは、市場に入るために適切なタイミングを識別するのに役立ちます. と, 運命はあるので, ほとんどの時間は、市場に入るため右の時間ではないです。. つまり、周りに待っています。, 引き金を引くタイミングを探してチャートを見つめてください。.

もはや新しいセットアップまで待つ, 正しいセットアップを発明する可能性が高く. 退屈は、アクションの必要性を増加させる, 実際にそこではないエントリを発明を開始するので. 貧しい人々 の決定の損失を結果します。, スキャルピングの戦略を放棄する原因.

非常にストレス

理論的には短時間だけのための市場は、しばらくの間, 市場の時間は非常にストレス. あなたは勝者になることの少数のピップを必要とするので、すべてがより強い. しかし、時, でも少量のピップを取得する簡単なことです。, それは長い時間を取ることができるか.

これを想像します。… あなたを待っているセットアップのため 1 時間以上 1 つが最後に来るとき. あなたは引き金を引くし、市場に参入します。. あなたの心のレースが開始します。.

さらに悪いことに, のみいくつかのピップ価値が取引をするために十分なお金を稼ぐ必要があるので、大きなロットを使用しました。. すぐに, 価格はあなたに反するし、リスクでお金の多くを参照してください。. このシナリオは、頻繁に、非常に感情的に受け入れ難い.

高価です

のみいくつかのピップの利益の後に起こっているので, 普及が大きな問題になります。. 通貨ペアを取引されている場合、 3 ピップの普及し、 3 利益のピップ, 市場が移動しています。 6 ピップ. そして、たとえあなたが勝つと, あなたがブローカーに移動の半分を支払っています。. これはあなたが探してより高い時間枠での取引と比較して取引する非常に高価な方法です。 100, 200, 300 多くのピップを移動または.

大きな損失の可能性

ランダムな市場の動きのため, 価格からまともな距離を停止する必要があります。. それ以外の場合, 価格で任意のスパイクは、貿易からあなたをノックします。. 報酬の比率にあなたの自然のリスクはお粗末な. 利益確定が多いリスクの合計のごく一部です。.

停止して取得を頻繁のスパイクは十分はアウトにし、あなたの元の貿易の方向に行くし、2 つのもののいずれかを実行を開始します. あなたのストップを広げるでしょうか停止することがなく取引を開始. いずれの場合で, 多くの前の勝利を否定する壊滅的な損失のために自分を設定しています。.

最後に, 私は私の皮むきではなかったことを自分自身に証明しました。. 次の論理的な進行は日中の取引戦略に移動するには. 次回の日中の取引戦略と私の経験上を行くよ, 私のような戦略、実際に役立つ貿易管理ロボットを作成する方法を教えてください。.

共有したい戦略を皮むきと任意の経験があれば, 以下のコメントを残してください。.

以下の下でファイルさ: 外国為替市場のしくみ?, 戦略の取引のアイデア タグが付いて: リスク報酬, 皮むき, スプレッド, 損失を停止します。

Don’t start with a forex robot

7 月 30, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス 2 コメント

I am a profitable trader and I trade real money. The long journey to become a successful trader ended with me achieving my goals. As I understand it, the goal of becoming a profitable trader is one that many people have, but few people achieve.

I moved to Chile with my wife to help with her father who suffered from various strokes. Besides getting used to living in a foreign country, I had to figure out a way to make money. Long story short, I wrote and sold fitness books on the Internet. 最終的に, I became interested in other online money making opportunities, which led me to trading Forex. (Since I had to deal with currency exchange in my real life every day calculating what things cost, I often wonder what took me so long to get into Foreign Exchange).

My first experience with Forex trading was with Forex trading robots. 私, like many others, fell for the dream of trading on autopilot without having to learn anything. 結局その程度です, this is what most of the Forex robots promise to deliver and it sounds perfect.

Forex Trading Robots Are NOT A Good Starting Point

Getting a Forex robot pre-programmed with a proven trading strategy sounds like the perfect place to start your trading journey. Using a commercial trading robot should allow you to skip the lengthy learning curve and jump straight to profits. Buy a profitable robot, put it on your account, become an instant Forex trading success and start buying all the expensive cars and houses you’ve always wanted.

私, like many others, fell for the dream of trading on autopilot without having to learn anything

まあ, if it was that easy, where are all the Forex trading success stories? [はい], we hear the success story of the person SELLING the robot on the sales page. But where are all the rich, happy people as a result of buying the trading robot?

I think a lot of people fail to make money using a Forex trading robot because they lack the knowledge and experience necessary to evaluate the robot properly. Starting your trading journey with pre-programmed expert advisors is not the way to go. You first need to understand what trading is all about, how hard it is and what to expect in terms of monthly gains and long term rewards.

Forex Robots And The Fall Of Communism

I studied and received my degree in philosophy. There was something about communism that always stood out for me. Communism was a philosophy that doomed Russia to failure from Russia still had a Feudalistic social system, and therefore did not know of the evils of capitalism. Since communism was supposed to evolve out of capitalism and correct the injustices, Russia really wasn’t the right place to put communism into practice. 最終的に, it failed.

だから, what does this have to do with using Forex robots?

If you don’t already know about trading manually, it is hard to evaluate or appreciate trading on autopilot. Many times the unrealistic expectations of the robot users is the real problem, and not the robot itself. Dreams of instant wealth conflict with the reality of trading, and when those dreams are not met, the robot is abandoned without being given a fair chance.

要するに, it is hard to evolve into a successful Forex robot user unless you have previous trading knowledge and experience. When you know how hard it is to have consistent and profitable trading results, you’ll appreciate a robot that puts profits in your account. When you appreciate the robot, you’ll be more likely to use it for the time necessary to reach your long term trading goals.

Building Your Own Forex Robot Should Be The Conclusion Of Your Journey

From my own experience, I can say that using a Forex robot should be at the END of your trading journey. Only after you’ve learned what type of trader you are and what system you want to trade should you consider automating your trading. Only then will you appreciate the trading results you get on autopilot.

だから, I think many people are approaching Forex trading from the wrong direction. They are looking for a shortcut to skip the time and effort it takes to learn how to trade. They think they can just get the robot from someone else, and they will be instantly profitable.

しかし, even if the robot is profitable over time, most people won’t trade it long enough to see the profits they desire. Since they don’t know how hard it is to trade, they are always going to expect more. They want to see profits every day and don’t want to have to deal with losses. まあ, that is just not what trading is all about.

The truth is, automated trading is not necessarily better than manual trading. [はい], it might help fit trading into your lifestyle and keep you from missing trading opportunities, but it does not replace a solid trading system, professional money management and patience. したがって, I find it better to try to evolve into automated trading by first focusing on determining what type of trader you are (ダフ屋, intraday trader, swing trader, end of day trader, など。), and finding the right trading strategy for your personality.

幸いにも, I did not give up after my first experiences with commercial Forex robots. I became a student of trading and stuck with it until I found something that worked for me. In this series I want to go over my experiences with scalping, intraday trading, swing trading and end of day trading. 最後に, I want to share with you a trading plan I use to measure my progress on my way to achieve my long term goals.

If you’ve had negative experiences with commercial Forex trading robots that potentially derailed your trading success, 以下のコメントを残してください。.

以下の下でファイルさ: 外国為替市場のしくみ?, 戦略の取引のアイデア タグが付いて: 専門家アドバイザー, forex robot

4 売買単位以上のピップを得るために簡単な取引トリック

7 月 26, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス Leave a Comment

If you are creating a trading system to trade manually or have programmed into an expert advisor, the first thing you need to do is create a solid trading strategy. The logic behind your strategy needs to take into account changing markets, use proper money management and look to gain long term, consistent gains. 本質的には, you want to be able to trade profitably over the long haul.

But once you have a system that meets these characteristics, is there a way to use trading tricks to tweak your system and get more pips out of every trade?

The Japanese use a term in business and manufacturing called “Kaizen”. Kaizen means “good change”. 基本的には, this is the ongoing process of making improvements by implementing small changes and tracking their impact over the long run. In terms of trading, small changes to your trading strategy can have a huge impact on your trading results over time.

Kaizen trading tricks

Kaizen is a Japanese business term referring to continuous improvement or good change.

Today I want to go over some of the small changes you can make to your trading strategy that could make a big improvement in your profits. Just think about using trading tricks to squeeze a few more pips out of each of the trades you place. 時間をかけて, those extra pips can really add up.

Stop Loss Placement

Adding Pips To Your Stop Level: A lot of trading systems you see out there use price action to determine stop loss levels. If you are placing a buy trade, you could use the last swing low. If you are placing a sell trade, you could use the last swing high. Then they say, “追加 2-3 pips to the level”.

Do these 2-3 pips really matter? Are these 2-3 pips going to keep you from being stopped out if price tests the swing highs or swing lows? Probably not, or least at not that often to make it a big issue. だから, why not just use the swing high and swing low levels?

Here is what this small change can do to your trading:

On losing trades, you save 2-3 ピップ. 時間をかけて, these 2-3 pips saved can add up to less losses. And less losses, means more profits.

Tightening Your Stop Loss: If you have been trading your system for a while, it might be a good idea to do a study of your stop loss levels. Look back over previous trades and see if your strategy can be improved by tightening your stop. たとえば, you might be using a 35 pip stop when you would have gotten the same results with a 28 ピップを停止.

If you are using money management like Percentage Per Trade, using a slightly tighter stop can result in using a slightly larger lot size per trade. This means more profits on your winning trades. And depending on how much you can safely tighten your stop, this could have a huge impact on your winnings.

Take Profit Targets

I’ve talked about this before. Hitting a target gives you a little emotional boost. 要するに, it feels good when we hit our price targets. This can lead to placing the take profit tragets a little closer than they need to be to make it easier to be hit.

If you’ve been trading your strategy long enough, you can look back over past trades and see if you are leaving profits on the table. Maybe you are using a 30 pip take profit when you could be getting the same wins with a 35 または 40 pip take profit. 時間をかけて, these “extra” pips on winning trades can turn into a lot of “extra” profits in your account.

Pending Entries

Most trading systems use Market Orders to get into the market. When your indicators line up, you pull the trigger and enter the market. The feeling is you want to get into the market immediately because if the trade goes your way, you want to start profiting immediately.

But think about it. How often do you enter the market and price goes immediately in your direction and hits your price target? Very rarely I bet. The truth is, the market does not move in a straight line and there are many pullbacks along the way.

Instead of using Market Orders to enter the trade, consider using Pending Limit Orders a few pips away. たとえば, if you want to enter a Buy trade, place a Pending Limit Order 3-5 pips BELOW current price. You only get triggered into the trade if price retraces enough to trigger you in.

It is worth checking this Pending Limit Order method with your strategy because you would be getting into the trade at a better price. 少なくとも, you would be making up for the spread cost of the trade by gaining a few extra pips per trade. And these small additions to your pip totals can really add up. If you made 400 winning trades a year and added 3 pips to each win… that would be 1,200 MORE pips of profit in your account.

I’m not saying all these small changes are perfect for every strategy. But it is worth looking at the way you trade to see if these small changes can improve your overall results over time. 覚えています。, we are not looking to make HUGE changes to the way you trade, only small tweaks that can lead to long term, impressive improvements to your strategy.

If you use any of these technique, or if something I’ve mentioned strikes a chord with you, 以下のコメントを残してください。.

以下の下でファイルさ: 戦略の取引のアイデア

成功した取引のための基準は何ですか?

7 月 23, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス Leave a Comment

Regardless of whether you are trading Forex, 株式, gold or beans, everyone who considers themselves a “トレーダー” wants to be successful. 多くの人にとって, this means fulfilling the goal of replacing their current income with gains made from trading. For others, it might mean reaching levels of wealth and security impossible to reach with their “day job”. In all cases, success means something different to each trader.

だから, how can you measure trading success?

I bring this up because there are a lot of unsuccessful traders out there that want to become successful. When they evaluate a mentor, 取引システム, service or piece of software, they make their determinations based on preconceived notions of success in trading. あまりにも頻繁, the people selling these systems, services or software use these preconceived ideas of success to sell the illusion of success, without any chance of delivering what they promise.

あなたが参照してください。, the more contact I have with people trying to learn to be successful traders, the more I feel people are on a journey without end. They have unrealistic goals they think are achievable, but are not. This leads to jumping to the next service, system or software promising huge gains. They’re permanently 1 つのステップを削除 (good pun?) from the success they seek.

I thought it would be a good idea to go over some of the most common “measuring sticks” of success in trading, so you can make informed decisions based in reality, and not uninformed decisions based on unrealistic hype. 最後に, I want you to figure out how YOU define success. Is this a realistic goal? Is what you propose possible, or only a dream? Only once you have a clear definition of success, can you take steps to achieving your goals.

measure successful trader

Win Rate?

You’ll see a lot of people define success by win rate. When a new system or service becomes available, win rate is often used to show how good it is. You’ll see systems claiming 80%, 90% and even 98% 率を獲得します。. But does the win rate really mean the system is good and you will be successful trading it?

Even if you can learn a system and get the win rate percentages advertised, this does not necessarily mean you are going to be profitable. Win rate alone is not enough information. You need to know stop loss and take profit levels as well as the money management strategy used to calculate lot size.

What would happen if the system uses a 200 pip stop loss and 2 pip take profit? Think about it. One bad trade would negate 100 winning trades.

Number Of Pips?

Another favorite method for measuring success is number of pips gained in a month. The idea is the higher the number of pips, 良い. But again, only knowing the number of pips is not enough information. Here are a couple of things to look out for…

Double Counting Pips: A lot of systems and services use scaling out as part of their exit strategy. たとえば, they take off half the lot size at 20 pips and the other half at 40 ピップ. Some people might say this was 60 利益のピップ. Where in reality, this is only 30 pips of profit at the original lot size.

High Stop Losses: If you are using a strategy with a high stop loss value, you need to take this into consideration when deciding on the lot size to use. 伝統的, the higher the stop loss, the lower the lot size you should use to not put too much of your account at risk. だから, even if the service shows high pip gains, these pips might not mean very much in terms of money earned.

The truth is, the number of pips you need to make to be profitable depends on the system’s characteristics. A lot of people think they need 1000 pips a month in order to be profitable and use this level to define success. But a service making 200 pips a month might be much more profitable when you look at the stop loss size and lot size used.

Money Earned?

A lot of times I see specific dollar amounts being used in promotion. Something like, “X trader made $346,095.00 in six months”. But this does not show how much money YOU would make.

Too many people kid themselves and believe these kinds of gains are achieveable with a starting balance of $500. This is just not the case. It is easy to make $350,000 when you start with a balance of 20 百万円. だから, take these dollar amount statements with a grain of salt.

Percentage Gains?

私の考えでは, percentage gains are the best way to measure success in trading. It is just easier to determine what the percentage gains would mean for you, compared to using win rate, pip numbers or money amounts. Here are a couple of things to take into account…

100% monthly gains are not realistic. I know a lot of people who want 100% gains every month. まあ, what trader wouldn’t be happy with those numbers? しかし真実は, this kind of goal is ridiculous. You might be able to do reach this level once, if you are lucky and use risky money management. But these type of gains are not something you can achieve consistently.

You can create huge wealth with 2% average monthly gains. With compounding and patience, consistent monthly gains can really add up. Throwing away a system or service making 2% monthly gains for the hopes of finding something that gives you 100% monthly gains is a waste of time.

最後に, you need to decide what success looks like. But the best advice I can give is to align your goals with reality. If your trading success goals are outside the possible, you’ll just end up going from one thing to the next, and this is not the way to be successful.

以下の下でファイルさ: 現在の市場で起きていること?

ほかの末尾の停止の考えや貿易出口アプローチ

7 月 19, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス Leave a Comment

Over the past couple of weeks, I’ve been going over a wide variety of trailing stop strategies and trade exit approaches. These methods help you trail your stop to allow price action to dictate when you get out of the trade. いくつかのケースで, using a trailing stop can allow you to take advantage of trending markets and profit on a larger portion of the move. Today I want to go over 2 ways to exit the trade that are not “技術的に” a trailing stop at all. I’m talking about the Equity Stop and Percentage Stop.

しかし、最初に, I want to address a couple of comments I got on previous posts…

Programming Trailing Stop Strategies?

I was asked about the ability to program these trailing stops into an EA. This could be an expert advisor specifically used to apply the trailing stop strategy after the trade is live. Or this could be part of the overall trading strategy programmed into a complete auto trading robot. Since the rules are pretty straightforward, this should not be a problem at all.

If you’ve read some of my previous posts, you already know I am a big fan of creating expert advisors to take care of trade management after the trade is live. The hardest part of trading, 私の意見で, is managing the trade when real money is on the line. Automating this process with one of the trailing stop approaches I’ve gone over is the easiest way to take the stress out of trading and sticking to your rules.

Linear And Non-Linear Trailing Stops?

If I understand the question correctly, I got a question about stops that follow price in static increments (linear), compared to stops that take volatility into consideration and move the stop up quicker if the speed of price movement increases (non-linear). Here are some thoughts.

None of the trailing stop techniques I’ve described take into account the speed of the candle while it is forming. In truth, this is too complex for me to think about because I describe trailing stop methods you can use manually (or have programmed). I don’t know how I would take into consideration the speed of a candle while watching the charts, so I don’t specifically have a non-linear strategy for when the candle is live.

それは言われています, there are various trailing stop methods I go over that do take into consideration the volatility of the market on candle close. Most of the trailing stop methods I use are calculated on the close of each candle. Here are some examples…

Bullish Bar – Bearish Bar Trailing Stop:

Using this method, you move the stop the same number of pips between open and close or the candle when price moves in your favor. (Bullish bars for buy trades and Bearish bars for sell trades). This does take market volatility into consideration because the amount you move the stop is not static, but calculated by the size of the previous bars move. Bigger the move, bigger the stop loss move.

ATR Trailing Stop:

このシステムを使用してください。, you use the Average True Range indicator to determine the number of pips to move your stop. This can either be the ATR value itself, or the ATR value multiplied by 1.25, 1.5, 2, など. もう一度, market volatility is taken into consideration.

If you look back at the trailing stop strategies I’ve gone over, a lot of them trail price action taking market volatility into consideration. They are not just moving the stop a static number of pips. And remember, using a trailing stop is always going to follow price action and give up a little profits when the trade is closed out. The trick is to follow price to lock in as much profits as possiible, without following too closely and getting stopped out too early.

OK, let’s go over 2 trade exit approaches, that are not really trailing stops….

Equity Stop

This strategy is for traders who have many trades on at any one time. It is really not that useful if you only have one trade on at a time. だから, imagine you have a daily profit target of $500 と 5 trades running. You would set the Equity Stop to close all trades once you reach the $500 マーク.

Even if you have 3 trades winning and 2 losing at the time you reach $500, all the trades would be closed. This way you guarantee you hit your daily price target. Using the Equity stop, you can set up a daily target and exit all trades when the dollar amount is hit, regardless of the state of the trades at the time.

Percentage Stop

This is similar to the Equity Stop, but using percentages. If you have a trade plan with a percentage goal, you can use a Percentage Stop to exit all trades once this percentage has been reached. もう一度, all trades are closed when your percentage gain is reached, regardless of the status of the trades.

Some traders maintain the trailing stop as a percentage of the price.

Some traders maintain the trailing stop as a percentage of the price.

たとえば, if you have a goal of 1.5% 1 日あたり, you would set the Percentage Stop to exit all trades once your trades reached 1.5% of the balance, regardless of the state of all the trades.

These strategies are really not trailing stop approaches. But I thought this was a good place to put them as you are using something other than price targets to exit the trade. Both strategies should be able to be programmed into an EA.

This pretty much ends the series on trailing stops. If you have something you want me to talk about, or something you think I missed, 以下のコメントを残してください。.

以下の下でファイルさ: お金を失うことを停止します。

Trailing Stop Systems: Bullish Bearish Bar and Round Numbers

7 月 16, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス Leave a Comment

Over the past couple of weeks we have been going over different trailing stop systems. Using a trailing stop allows you to let price action dicatate when to get out of the trade. In non trending markets, using a trailing stop can reduce your risk or get you out of the trade with a small gain.

In trending markets, the trailing stop can safely keep you in the trade longer for larger gains.

Today I want to go over two trailing stop systems, the Bullish / Bearish Bar Trailing Stop and the Round Number Trailing Stop.

Bullish / Bearish Bar Trailing Stop

This trailing stop method is interesting because it not only moves the stop in your favor, but uses market volatility to determine how much to move the stop. This is beneficial because when big moves happen in the market, a larger portion of the winnings is locked in. In times of lower volatility, the stop does not move as much, or at all, which possibly keeps you in the trade longer.

For a buy order, the stop loss is only moved if the next bar upon close is a bullish bar. The stop is adjusted the same number of pips as difference between the open and close of the bar. たとえば, if the difference between the open and close is 32 pips up, you would move the stop loss 32 pips up. If the next bar is bearish, the stop loss is not moved at all.

Here is an example of a buy trade…

Bullish bar trailing stop system

写真で見ることができます。, ストップロスを移動しました。 4 回, corresponding to the 4 bullish bars that occured after the trade was placed. Each time the stop was moved, it moved the same number of pips as the number of pips for the bullish bar from open to close. This trade resulted in locking in 95 pips before being stopped out.

For a sell order, the stop loss is only moved if the next bar upon close is a bearish bar. The stop is adjusted the same number of pips as the difference between the open and close of the bar. たとえば, if the difference between the open and close is 45 pips down, you would move the stop loss 45 pips down. If the next bar is bullish, the stop loss remains in the original position.

Here is an example of a sell trade…

Bearish Bar Trailing Stop system

写真で見ることができます。, the stop was moved 4 回. Each time there was a bearish bar, the new stop location was calculated from the bars open to close pip numbers. This trade resulted in locking in 166 pips before being stopped out.

Round Number Trailing Stop

Round numbers are price levels that end in 50 と 00. 覚えています。, price action is determined by the action of traders, which are human beings. Levels that end in 50 または 00 have a strong psychological effect. このために, these levels make for strong support and resistance levels. They also make for good triggers to move your stop loss.

There are indicators on the Internet that mark these round number levels. Instead of the grid normally found on the charts, you would see lines at the 50 と 100 レベル. These are important psychological levels and you’ll see price react to these levels quite often.

If you are on the lower time frames (anything below H4), I recommend using the 50 levels as your stop loss trigger. If you are trading the H4 or higher, it is probably a better idea to only use the 00 レベル. 基本的には, on the lower time frames you will be trailing your stop by 50 ピップ, and on the higher time frames by 100 ピップ.

Here is how the round number trailing stop works…

When a candle crosses a round number level and CLOSES on the other side, move the stop to the previous round number level. Since the round number levels are good support and resistance levels, it is a good idea to move the stop to just below (for a buy trade) or just above (for a sell trade) の 50 または 00 レベル.

次に例を示します。…

Round Number Trailing Stop System

写真で見ることができます。, the trailing stop was moved 6 times and placed slightly below the round number line. I used a round number indicator I found on the web for this example. I set the round numbers to 100 to only show levels ending in 00 since this is a daily chart. Each time a candle closed above a 00 ライン, I moved the stop to slightly below the previous 00 ライン. これは、結果、 545 pips being locked in before being stopped out.

In the next installment, I want to go over two more strategies. These are not really “末尾” stop systems, but two ways to exit trades once triggered that don’t hit the stop loss or take profit levels. In the meantime, leave a comment with your thoughts on my trailing stop ideas.

以下の下でファイルさ: お金を失うことを停止します。

末尾の停止方法: 移動平均、パラボリック SAR トレーリング ストップ

7 月 12, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス 3 コメント

今日はトレーリング ストップ戦略の我々 の議論を継続したいです。. 覚えています。, トレーリング ストップが削減し、貿易はあなたの好意に行くしたら、リスクを排除する方法です。. 市場に利益を与えることではなく, 大きな利益を見ると利益でロックできます。. この記事で, 移動平均、パラボリックの SAR 末尾ストップ戦略で行きたいです。.

移動平均のトレーリング ストップ

移動平均は、与えられた時間期間の価格の平均値を表示するために使用一般的指標. 移動平均はトレンドの方向と運動量を決定する通常使用されます。. たとえば, 価格は上記のかどうか、 50 移動平均をトレンドで市場を考えることができます。. 価格は以下のかどうか、 50 移動平均, 下降トレンド市場を考えることができます。. 移動平均も、トレーリング ストップとして使用することができます。, 私たちが見ているであります。.

トレードを終了する移動平均を使用する 2 つの方法があります。. 最初の移動平均位置を使用してあなたの停止をトレイルすることです。. 2 番目がクロスし取引を終了するシグナルとして移動平均の向こう側にろうそくの閉じるには.

トレーリング ストップとして移動平均を使用してください。

このシナリオでは, 移動平均の位置を使用して、あなたのストップをトレールする場所を決定するには. 貿易が進むと移動平均の位置の変更, それぞれのキャンドルはすぐストップを追う. この方法では, 停止損失の価格を以下し、貿易が終了すると価格を逆に停止損失を取る十分な.

ここでは、単純移動平均に設定の使用例です。 13.

Trailing stop strategies SMA

画像で見ることができます。, オレンジ色の線は移動平均です。. これで売買します。, 貿易の進行, 移動平均がろうそくの火の近くではどこによると停止を移動します. 移動平均値が高い, 多くの部屋を与える価格行動. 移動平均の値が小さい, 価格行動に近いあなたの停止を遅れを.

移動平均を使用して貿易を閉じる

これは移動平均を使用して取引を終了するバリエーションです。. 次の価格ではなく、それぞれのキャンドルを終了後に移動平均を使用してください。, キャンドルが移動平均線をブレークした後のみ貿易を終了し、反対側を閉じます. これは潜在的価格を余りに密接に末尾が場合に発生する可能性があるランダムな価格行動によって早期に停止されてからあなたを保つことができます。.

ここでは、単純移動平均期間の設定を使用して例 3 シフト 3. このような私 3/3 移動平均したこの戦略価格のアクションに近いので, 必要な休憩と取引を終了するキャンドルの閉じるので素敵な利益のこと.

Trailing stop strategies MA exit

写真で見ることができます。, ピアスの価格、 3/3 貿易の初めに何回か平均を移動. いない終了した貿易価格は移動平均の反対側に交差し、すぐをやったので、. 下部に, 価格の交差や移動平均の反対側を閉じるとき, 貿易を閉じるだろう.

パラボリックの SAR 末尾の停止

パラボリックの SAR (停止し、逆に) 市場の潜在的な反転ポイントを見つけることができる指標です。. 価格はアップ傾向があるとき, SAR ドットは価格の下に配置します。. 価格はダウン トレンド時, SAR ドットは価格の上に配置します。. キャンドルの終了時, 次のろうそくの SAR 値が計算されます。. これは良いトレーリング ストップの SAR ドットを使用して、します。.

ここでは、ステップの既定設定を使用して例 0.02 最大 0.2.

パラボリックの SAR 末尾の停止

写真で見ることができます。, 買い注文があります。. 価格の下に新しいパラボリックの SAR ドットが表示されるたびに, ストップロスを移動しました。. これは、結果、 15 最終的に停止する前に停止損失の移動します。 300 ピップの利益.

パラボリックの SAR インジケーターを使用して、取引を終了する別の方法は、単に反対のパラボリックの SAR ドットを得るときに取引を終了するには. だから, 上記の例で, ドットが価格の上に価格の下であることから切り替えたときに取引を終了だろう.

次の記事で, トレーリング ストップ戦略の別のカップルで行きたいです。. 私にコメントをしたい私はそれを行っていない任意の末尾停止メソッドがある場合, 以下のコメントを残す.

以下の下でファイルさ: お金を失うことを停止します。

トレーリングストップテクニック: キャンドル高いキャンドル低く、平均トゥルーレンジ

7 月 9, 2013 によって エドワード ・ ロマックス 8 コメント

We’ve been having a discussion about trailing stops over the past couple of posts. I wanted to continue that discussion by going over a couple more trailing stop techniques. Today I want to go over the X Candle High / X Candle Low and Average True Range trailing stop techniques.

Trailing stops use price action to determine when to exit the market.

The purpose of moving the stop is to reduce risk, eliminate risk and lock in profits.

Let’s go over the specific techniques.

X Candle High / X Candle Low Trailing Stop Technique

This technique uses a set amount of closed candles in the direction of the trade to determine where to move the stop loss.

A good number of candles for this technique is 2 または 3. The more candles you use, the more room you give the market to move. The lower number of candles you use, the more closely you are following price action. この例のために, let’s use 3 candles.

For a BUY trade, you use the lowest low of the past 3 closed candles as the area to move your stop. In a SELL trade, you use the highest high of the past 3 closed candles as the area to move the stop. Whenever a candle closes there is the potential to move the stop. Only move the stop in the direction of the trade.

Here is an example of a BUY trade…

3 candle buy trailing stop

写真で見ることができます。, you look at the last 3 closed candles and place your stop at the lowest low. Every time the lowest low of the last 3 candles goes in your favor, you move the stop to lock in more profits. この例では, the stop was moved 11 times before finally being stopped out with 349 ピップ.

Here is an example of a sell trade..

3 candle highest high for sell trailing stop

写真で見ることができます。, you look at the last 3 closed candles and move the stop to the highest high. The stop loss was moved 7 times and locked in 267 利益のピップ. Since the stop loss has not been hit yet, you would continue moving the stop in this fashion until the stop is hit.

Average True Range Trailing Stop

The Average True Range (ATR) indicator measures the volatility of the currency pair. If the degree of price volatility is high you will get a higher number. 反対に, if there is not a large degree of price movement you will get a lower number. Many traders like to use the Average True Range to determine stop loss size, or how close to trail the stop.

The theory is, if you are in a volatile market, you’ll need a larger stop loss to keep from getting stopped out by random price movement. If the market is not volatile, you can get away with using a tighter stop. Traders use the average true range as is, or multiply the average true range by 1.25, 1.5, 2 or some other number.

The Average True Range trailing stop strategy is just like the X Pip strategy I talked about in the previous post. Once price goes in your favor, you move the stop based on the close of the candle. この場合, we use the average true range value, or a number based on the average true range multiplied by 1.25, 1.5, 2 or some other number. Every time another candle closes, there is a potential to move the stop loss if that means moving your stop in your favor.

Here is a photo of the Average True Range…

Trailing stop technique using ATR

The Average True Range indicator is the blue line at the bottom. To find the value, put your cross-hairs on the line and look to the right to find the value. This is the value you use to calculate the trailing stop loss value. Ever time there is a closed candle, find the ATR value and figure out how close you want to trail the stop. If the value moves the stop in your favor, place the stop at that value.

Next time I’ll go over a couple more trailing stop techniques. In the meantime, if you have a favorite trailing stop method, 以下のコメントを残してください。.

以下の下でファイルさ: お金を失うことを停止します。

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