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Three Types of Candlesticks Every Trader Should Know

8 月 15, 2016 によって リオル Alkalay 4 コメント

Understanding the various types of candlesticks is one of the first things every novice trader should learn. But the experienced trader should also never forget the candlesticks’ significance. Because sometimes, when you have to figure out what’s about to happen with a certain pair and all other indicators fail, it’s the basics of reading candlesticks that can save the day—just like a sailor who navigates using the North Star when all else fails.

But even when you’re not in the unknown, reading candlestick shapes well lets you figure out the immediate trend quickly and can save time in the long run. だから, regardless of your level of trading experience, here are three candlesticks every trader should know.

Hammer Candlesticks

A hammer candlestick, as its name suggests, has a hammer-like form, with the opening and closing price rather close, and the lower shade (or upper shade if it’s a reverse hammer candlestick) substantially long.

Candlesticks

What a hammer signals is a change of momentum. If we examine the bearish hammer, we can see the candlestick’s closing price substantially lower than the highest point. That suggests that selling pressure has been so strong that it pushed for a close that is way below the high; in other words, the sellers have the upper hand. And vice versa for a bullish hammer where the momentum is set to turn bullish from bearish.

Note that each hammer type has a stronger version which suggests the change in momentum will be stronger. If we’re on a bullish trend and the next candlestick is a hammer, where the closing price is not only much lower than the highest price for the candlestick but lower than the opening, then it suggests a much stronger change in momentum.

それにもかかわらず, the greatest determinant in assessing the strength of the rebound to follow is the shade. The longer the shade of the candlestick compared to the rest of the candlestick, the stronger the change in momentum expected.But on the flipside, beware if the shade is relatively short; the change in momentum might be unreliable.

Doji Candlesticks

A Doji candlestick is a candlestick where the opening price and the closing price are so close they almost align. There are several variations of the Doji candlestick, but these three are the most noteworthy.

Candlesticks

The Standard Doji – The standard Doji candlestick is similar to the general description above, with the opening and closing price aligned (or almost aligned) and the two shades sticking out. What a standard Doji implies is a stalemate between the buyers and the sellers at the opening/closing price. When it comes after a certain trend, down or up, it suggests a pause, and could imply either a resumption of the trend or a change in trend. But that’s not all. Compared to the other two, the standard Doji has a relatively short shade on both sides and that suggests a weaker momentum.

Long Legged Doji – This is perhaps the most interesting Doji candlestick. Just like the standard Doji, the opening and closing price align almost perfectly. But unlike the standard Doji, the shades on both sides are much longer. What it means is that, just like the standard Doji, there is a stalemate between the sellers and the buyers at the opening/closing price. しかし, unlike the standard Doji, the long shades imply high volatility around the stalemate area. This means that once the stalemate is broken, we can expect a burst of momentum because volatility is high.

Dragonfly Doji – The somewhat exotic name for this candlestick type is a bit misleading. With a long low shadow, the Dragonfly tends to have the same meaning as the aforementioned Long Legged Doji, albeit with a weaker momentum. ため、, それ以外の場合, it would be a hammer with a closing price higher than the opening price. (The Gravestone Doji is a reversed Dragonfly Doji, with the same meaning as a bearish hammer and hence only worth this brief mention.)

Engulfing Candlesticks

The engulfing candlestick truly lives up to its name. The candlestick can exist in two forms—a bullish engulfing candlestick and a bearish engulfing candlestick.

Candlesticks

The engulfing candlestick’s clearest distinction is that it engulfs in size the aforementioned candlesticks.

A bullish candlestick will have either a lower opening price than the closing of the previous candlestick or the same price as the previous candlestick closing price but a lower low. しかし、もっと重要なこと, the closing price of the bullish engulfing candle is a much higher high. The bearish engulfing candlestick, as illustrated below, is the exact mirror of the bullish engulfing candlestick.

What does an engulfing candlestick signal? A start of a strong trend. Bearish or bullish, when you encounter an engulfing candlestick you should expect a strong move which can be beneficial for momentum traders seeking to ride a strong trend but an engulfing candlestick can also be risky for those who have a position in the opposite direction.

結論として

明らかに, understanding the various candlestick types cannot and should not replace the technical indicators. But recognizing the candlestick types does allow you to quickly figure out what’s coming next, even when in uncharted territory. When the picture cannot be completed by technical indicators, knowing the candlesticks to watch could be your guiding star.

以下の下でファイルさ: 外国為替市場のしくみ? タグが付いて: candlestick chart, doji, engulfing, hammer

5 つの異なる Dojis

7 月 26, 2015 によって リチャード ・ Krivo Leave a Comment

童子キャンドル信号市場 優柔不断 と、 潜在的な 価格操作による方向変更. (常にクマの心、 “潜在的な” 変化の方向の保証変更ではありません。)

童子の童子が発生するチャートの時間枠の内で事実上同じレベルで通貨ペアの価格を開閉するときに形成されます。. でも、ろうそくの開閉の間の価格の動きのかなりのビットがあるかもしれない, オープンし、近くにはほぼ正確な同じ価格で置くという事実は市場がペアを取る方法を決定できなかったことを示すもの…利点や欠点を.

doji

歴史的なこの強調童子を見てをみましょう 4 下記の AUDCAD の時間のグラフ…

doji 1

童子が発生した時点で, 我々 はその価格がマイナス面にかなり強い移動後引き返したのビットを見ることができます。. 童子は、リトレースメントの先頭を表す場合 (我々 はその形成時に知らない) トレーダー方向の優柔不断と潜在的な変更を解釈し、童子後次のろうそくのオープンで、組の短い. 童子の上部の芯の真上に配置される停止. この場合, その貿易にうまく働いていると.

確率が高い取引を念頭に置きつつ、長期トレンドの方向に撮影されているものになります, 童子が下降リトレースメントの上部または上昇でリトレースメントの下部に発生したとき, 童子を取引するための高い確率の方法は、トレンドの方向. 上昇基調の場合停止は童子の低い芯下行くだろうし、下降停止上部芯上に行くだろう.

Dojis は人気があり、彼らは、識別するために簡単にキャンドルの灯心のトレーダーに彼らの停止の場所に関する優秀なガイドラインを提供との取引で広く使用されています。.

以下の例は、 標準的な童子 キャンドル…

standard

 

 

長い足の童子 下は上と下の水平線垂直線の拡張がより多くが単に. ろうそくの期間中に, 価格行動は劇的に、上下移動は事実上それを開いた同じレベルで閉じた. これは、買い手と売り手の間の優柔不断を示しています.

long leg

 

、 とんぼ童子 以下上昇のいずれかの上部または下降の下部に表示することができ、信号の方向の変化の可能性. 上記の行はありませんその価格を示す鉄棒がオープン価格の上移動しなかった. 弱気の動きの下部にこの童子に非常に拡張下の芯は非常に強気の信号.

dragon

 

 

、 墓石童子 トンボの正反対です。. 取引の範囲の下端に価格行動の開閉と表示されます。. オープン後、バイヤーの価格をプッシュすることができたが、近くには強気の勢いを維持することができませんでした。. 逆に移動の上部に, これは、弱気信号.

grave

 

 

、 4 価格童子 以下は単に水平線の上または下の水平、垂直線なしに. これでは究極の優柔不断で、高, 低, 開いたり閉じたり (表されるすべての 4 つの価格) ろうそくでまったく同じだった. それがもう一度優柔不断を示す非常にユニークなパターンまたは単に非常に静かな市場.

4

 

 

 

我々 はこの記事の冒頭に童子を取引について学んだ基本的なルールと同様にこれらのユニークな dojis のそれぞれに適用.

 

 

すべて最高と良い取引…

リチャード ・ Krivo

@RKrivoFX

RKrivoFX@gmail.com

以下の下でファイルさ: 外国為替市場のしくみ? タグが付いて: doji

売られ過ぎの理解

2 月 26, 2015 によって リチャード ・ Krivo Leave a Comment

If you are cooking something and you check on it and you see that it is “overdone” または “overcooked”, what is your immediate reaction? まさに. You take the dish out of the oven. Remove it from what caused its current overdone state and the sooner the better.

Too late for our chicken dinner below…

burned

 

What if your car’s engine is “overheated”? Same deal…you do what it takes to get the engine cooled down. Immediately stop doing what caused the engine to become overheated in the first place.

overheat

 

Given these natural reactions, it is easy to see why the initial and almost immediate move by many newer traders to an “overbought” または “売られ過ぎ” trading scenario is to do the opposite in that case as well.

They reason that since many buy (長い) orders moved price up and pushed the indicator into overbought territory, we must do the opposite and take a short (販売) 位置. 逆に, if many sell orders caused the price to drop and move into oversold territory we much begin to take long positions. It’s almost as though they expect price to snap back like a rubber band when it reaches these overextended zones.

まあ…what is instinctively the proper reaction for chicken dinners and car engines is not necessarily the proper reaction when trading.

It is important to remember that when an indicator goes into the Overbought/Oversold areas, it can remain there for quite some time. Just because the RSI or Stochastics indicator reads overbought for example, does not mean that price action on the pair is like a tightly compressed spring that is going to immediately snap back toward the Oversold area.

Let’s take a look at a historical Daily chart of the NZDJPY pair below for an example of this…

overbought chart

Notice on this chart that when Slow Stochastics went above 80 (in the red rectangle) into the overbought area, price continued to go up for another 780+ pips and Stochastics stayed overbought the entire time. Clearly a trader who went short when it first when into overbought territory would have missed out on a great move. They also would have gotten stopped out of their short position very quickly.

To see an example of where price retreats when Slow Stochastics goes into overbought territory we need to look no further than the area labeled “A” on the chart. In this case the candlesticks around “A”, dojis, spinning tops, shooting star and a hammer, indicate the potential for a pullback.

The point to be made is that いずれか scenario can play out so don’t have a knee jerk reaction to the overbought and oversold areas of an indicator.

覚えています。…

Only take entry signals from an indicator that are in the direction of the longer term trend.

たとえば, if the trend has been strong and prolonged to the upside, it stands to reason that the indicator will be in overbought territory since it reflects the bullish push of price action. To take a short position at that point would to trade に対して the trend and that would be introducing more risk into the trade.

良い取引,

リチャード ・ Krivo

RKrivoFX@gmail.com

@RKrivoFX

以下の下でファイルさ: 未分類 タグが付いて: doji, hammer, NZDJPY, overbought, 売られ過ぎ, shooting star, 短い, ストキャスティックス, トレンド

SPY and Dojis

10 月 10, 2013 によって ショーンオバートン Leave a Comment

Everyone here knows that I’m a fan of the dumbest possible strategy. The less complex that rules are, the easier it is to understand when something inevitably breaks.

、 SPY and Doji strategy from paststat most certainly fits the bill. The SPY is the ETF that tracks the S&P 500 index.

They tested a simple idea: does a doji on the SPY contain any predictive value? The short answer is a qualified yes.

The dojis offered no predictive value on their own. しかし, teaming them up with a 200 period moving average showed much better results. Use the location above or below the moving average showed a clear relationship between profit and loss.

SPY Doji

So am I not touting this to all my readers? The biggest problem with a strategy like this is the sample size: there are only 40 trades in the largest sample. Some of the posted results only analyze the outcomes of 12 取引. That’s not a strategy. It’s hardly an observation, いずれか.

What I do like about the idea is that it hightlights something fundamental about how the stock market works. I always think of it as a pair trade. You buy 1 unit of stock for every X dollars of currency.

You’re really pair trading two asset classes: one is a stock, the other is dollars. The flow of the forex market dominates stocks. A surge in dollar strength almost certainly anticipates a down day in stocks.

The fits and starts of the forex market lead stocks to crawl their way upward. Bull markets last for years and years. Unless you’re counting Fed days, there’s no particular move that dominates in stocks.

SPY Strategy Idea

Contrast that with bear moves and the difference is night and day. Everyone knows about the 1987 crash when the market crashed 22% in a single day. Our more recent crisis in 2008 inflicted similar damage over a period of weeks.

Price crossing the moving average is one of my favorite strategies. It’s dummy proof and I’ve seen it work in several markets, especially forex commodity crosses.

The SMA filter that paststat applied in the doji strategy might just make for a better daily trading strategy altogether. I’d even be tempted to ignore the long trades and take short only signals. A simple filter like the put-call ratio might help filter out the worst of the noise trades.

What I like even more is that it’s a strategy that could apply in today’s market:

  • The stock market is trading on record margins of debt
  • Selling the idea of a crisis isn’t hard with the potential US default looming

We’ll have to take a look at this in more detail tomorrow.

以下の下でファイルさ: 戦略の取引のアイデア タグが付いて: default, doji, ドル, 外国為替, レバレッジ, 移動平均, SMA, スパイ

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