アルゴリズムと機械の外国為替戦略 | OneStepRemoved

先物で目でオイルの Cfd を取引します。

によって Leave a Comment

ほとんどのトレーダーのため, Cfd を取引する最も簡単な方法オイルは. Oil CFD trading is deemed a less costly option as CFD contracts are minimal compared to Oil futures contracts. That means Oil CFDs are easy on the margins. Furthermore, in a CFD trade, there’s no need to “roll” (or extend) a contract.

If you trade Oil CFDs rather than Oil futures, you can still use Oil futures data to make an informed decision. その後、, you get the best of both worlds, すなわち. the low costs of CFDs and the insight of Oil futures (usually WTI contracts).

Watch Oil Futures Volume

The first insight that Oil futures data can give you when trading Oil CFDs is volume. Since oil CFDs are OTC (Over-the-Counter) there is no volume available. By using the CME website you can view the volume of the front month contract in WTI. With that data, you can conclude how strong the momentum of a recent Oil trend. If you get high volume, then momentum is strong and, もちろんです, vice versa.

Oil CFDs

ソース: CME

Winter is Coming

Oil demand tends to jump during winter months; を, もちろんです, is because demand for heating amplifies the need for energy. But what does it means in practice, トレーダーとして? Say you opened an Oil trade, 長いか短いか, ahead of winter. Demand expectations could change the trend once winter began. How could Oil futures help you?

もう 1 回お願いします, the CME site can come to your rescue. Let’s say you’re in August and the Oil futures contracts for November are much higher. You realize that there’s a greater likelihood that Oil will head higher over the coming weeks. 今のところ, what if the price is more or less the same as the Oil CFD contract? That means there is a low expectation of rising Oil for the upcoming winter.

As seen in the sample below (from the CME WTI oil contracts) December and January are roughly at the same price of $46.41 for Oil WTI contracts. And that means low winter expectations.

There is one caveat; only watch the winter months’ futures when winter is really approaching. それ以外の場合, the price may not be that indicative.

Oil CFDs

ソース: CME

Watch Open Interest Ahead of Inventories

If you trade forex then you know all about the monthly Nonfarm Payrolls report and how it affects the major FX pairs. まあ, Oil has its own “Nonfarms,” albeit in miniature. Every Wednesday, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) releases its weekly petroleum status and inventories report.

Data on future and options (where the big money is) can come in very handy. Any open buy side interest ahead of the EIA release is quite revealing. That suggests that any fall in inventories could ignite a bullish bounce. So every Wednesday, you get an indication of a potentially big move and adjust your trade accordingly.

Oil CFDs

ソース: CME

Spot Reliable Pivots

確認して, open interest can help you sense sentiment but there’s more. It can also allow you to spot pivots. どのように? それを考えます; all of the big Oil producers have a certain price below which they will lose money. When you examine the Oil open interest chart, this time from options, you can easily identify that price by a high concentration of puts. Those puts option are in place to protect producers against an Oil collapse. Then you can rely on those pivots during your day trade or when swing trading.

Oil CFDs

ソース : CME

Oil CFDs vs Futures

もちろんです, there are many more nuances to trading Oil CFDs which can be addressed another time. For now, しかし, understand that Oil CFDs are the smart way to trade Oil. そうは言っても, しかし, it doesn’t mean you can’t gain valuable insight from the derivatives market.

正しい戦略を選択します

によって 3 コメント

Traders use a variety of strategies in the markets, all based on two forms of analysis: Fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Although institutions and other large traders often use a combination of these two analytical styles, most independent traders rely on strategies based largely on technical analysis.

Let’s take a look at both analytical styles as they apply to trading forex.

Fundamental analysis

In the stock markets, equities traders are sometimes able to value a company (and therefore predict its share price) if they know all the information about that company. That’s because the share price of the company reflects the value of its known assets. By knowing a company, the equity trader knows what its share price should be.

しかし, in forex markets using fundamental analysis alone is far less effective, because it’s extremely difficult to value an entire country’s economy in order to predict its currency’s value. Most forex traders use exclusively technical analysis.

When full scale fundamental analysis is applied to forex markets, it’s most often used as a way to predict longer-term trends. と, some traders use data such as news releases in the short term to generate trades or confirm signals. だから, along with their mainstay technical analysis, some traders incorporate fundamental data.

Here are some of the fundamental indicators commonly used by forex traders:

★ Non-Farm Payroll

★ Consumer Price Index (CPI)

★ Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

★ Durable Goods Sales

★ Retail Sales

For best results, savvy traders also pay attention to various meetings of government officials and industry conferences, and other venues where market-moving quotes and commentary can be found.

Meetings are scheduled to discuss inflation, interest rates and other issues that directly affect currency prices. These meetings and conferences are often reported in the industry press before they reach mainstream media. The important event for fundamentals-based forex traders is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference and meeting transcript.

Forex traders can follow meetings and conferences and become highly knowledgeable specialists, and profit by knowing a particular market better than most others.

Technical analysis

Technical analysis is by far the most common basis for forex strategies. Using technical analysis in forex is different than in equities, because the forex time frame is 24 hours worldwide whereas many stocks don’t trade overnight, so their price movements are different.

Traders use a huge variety of individualized systems, often built by knowledgeable EA providers, with many different indicators. Here are just a few of the most common indicators and theories used in technical analysis:

★ Elliott Waves

★ パラボリック SAR

★ ギャン Theory

★ Fibonacci Numbers

★ Pivot points

Traders craft many different strategies based on technical analysis, especially by combining multiple indicators. Other developers create trading systems based on finding historical buying and selling patterns that are expected to be repeated.

Developing a personal strategy

Successful forex traders develop and fine-tune their strategies over time. Some traders focus on a particular tool or calculation, while others user a broader approach and experiment with a combination of technical and fundamental analysis.

Many new traders wisely start out by “paper trading” or using a demo account with a 外国為替ブローカー. と, experienced traders almost invariably develop new systems with backtesting before trying them in real time. Lack of experience can cause you to lose your capital, so it’s important to take the time to practice before committing significant money to any new trading system.

Regardless of whether you use technical indicators alone, or incorporate fundamentals as well, if you have the discipline to learn your target markets and trade confidently while carefully managing risks, then your strategy has an excellent chance to succeed.

Do you rely on technical indicators? Fundamental indicators? または, a combination of both?