Kembali pada hitam! Penyata bulan adalah 1.03%. Ia bukanlah keuntungan besar, Saya mengaku, tetapi kemenangan kemenangan.
Prestasi tidak benar-benar berada di mana-mana bulan ini. Kami diapungkan 2% di atas dan 2% di bawah sifar pada kebanyakan masa.
QB Yen datang lagi pada kerugian kecil -0.61%.
Saya agak kecewa dengan prestasi QB Yen setakat. Apa-apa seolah-olah salah selain daripada buruk masa menghidupkan di bahagian saya. Masih sukar untuk menerimanya pada chin bagi 5 bulan yang menjalankan, walaupun.
Lindung nilai yang
Saya secara manual dilindung nilai portfolio awal bulan ini dengan membeli USDCNH dalam mundurnya daripada semua huru-hara. Portfolio mengambil keras apabila yuan yang telah longgar. Saya menganggap bahawa turun naik apa-apa tambahan akan kemungkinan berpunca daripada kelemahan USDCNH.
Orang Cina yang campur tangan secara aktif dalam mata wang mereka. Seperti yang kita semua tahu dari GBP pada 1990-an dan CHF dalam tahun ini, kerja-kerja campur tangan sehingga mereka tidak. Perkara utama yang menjadi kebimbangan saya adalah kos peralihan. Harap boleh improve slps untuk mengekalkan kedudukan.
Satu perkara yang membuatkan saya selesa dengan bahawa perdagangan adalah bahawa tidak ada peluang penyembuhan ajaib China. Ia berada dalam hutang sehingga bola mata yang – segala-galanya dari Syarikat sepanjang jalan sehingga kerajaan serantau. Dan manakala China tidak mahu yuan untuk menurunkan nilai terlalu cepat, Zulkifli mutlak ia mahu kerana yuan untuk meningkat dalam nilai.
Saya tidak boleh hamil daripada mana-mana senario yang munasabah di mana China menguruskan untuk kembali ke dalam 7-10% pertumbuhan KDNK Tahunan yang ia mengalami bagi 30 tahun. Terlalu panas, terlalu cepat. Jika anda mempunyai senario yang munasabah dalam fikiran, kemudian menulis idea anda di bahagian komen.
Kemas kini kepada strategi
Saya telah berjanji banyak pengemaskinian untuk strategi dalam tempoh 6 bulan. Jingwei dan saya telah dinilai mereka semua. Semua cadangan perubahan datang jauh kekurangan jangkaan saya dan dengan itu telah tidak dilaksanakan di dalam akaun live.
I’m working with Jingwei, our actuary, to develop new trading systems. You’re going to learn the newest indicator in a few months.
Posted by OneStepRemoved.com pada Khamis, September 17, 2015
The changes alluded to in the post are all different from QB Pro. I’ve flogged that strategy about as much as I can.
I feel good about QB Pro long term. Before anything potentially good happens in the account, Walau bagaimanapun, I really need the Fed to get off the bench. Raising rates would be good for us because it should kick off a long term USD trend. Another round of QE would be the best thing for the strategy. I personally despise QE and think it’s a bad idea, but it would ignite a massive USD selloff. That’s the kind of market where QB Pro has done extraordinarily well in the past.
Here’s the US dollar index for the past year:
And for easy comparison, here’s the same QB Pro lifetime equity chart. Notice that performance peaked around mid-March and has been flat ever since.
Things should pick back up whenever the dollar picks a direction. I expect that to happen by year’s end. Nobody will believe the Fed if they punt one more time on a rate increase in December.
Dalam pada itu, all of this research has given me the great epiphany that the strategy works best where pairs are trending. The portfolio is being rebalanced this month accordingly.
I appreciate your input on trading forex especially scslping.Thank You
sama-sama, Ernest. I’m happy to be helpful.
Shaun, you have to read my posting on facebook. Umm, you are not gonna believe it but I am testing the newest strategies that based on community outline on fxbook. semalam, I made 80% on winning trades based on your tactical strategies. Hari ini, its 57%. Still I made monies. Anda lihat, I left these trades open during the nite. European pairs and jpy, aud and nzd. there were no USD pairs were traded last nite. And now I am testing USD/MXN since MXN is 77% long and I am betting short against long position today.
I am working on a relatively new tactical move that based on COT report that usually comes out on Fridays. So I certainly will fire an email to you when it comes to combination of fxbook outlook community and COT report. possibly USD dollar index strategies.
Hey Paul, that’s excellent to hear. You’ll need a lot more data, but that is obviously an encouraging start.
Thank you for sharing your experience. Tidak perlu dikatakan, I get a lot of encouragement when I hear about my traders winning!
Your performance remains a winner since it manage to keep its head above the water. The disappointing part is that any CFA can obtain this performance, and God knows they are the worst traders in the world (because they only rely on fundamental analysis). It is the same when one only rely on indicators; indicators are bad, tempoh. No one has ever proven making money out of indicators only, all successful traders I know use their instinct, an instinct that only many years of experience and compiled datas and screenshots and manual analysis can achieve. Just as beginners, indicators to often fall in the myriad of traps they are on the graphics. The holy grail is in the eye of the trader, not on the cup. I hope my comments help you however. Good luck my friend.
Hi guerg,
I appreciate the intention behind the comment. Tidak perlu dikatakan, I disagree. I assume the performance comment was about the month? While I do agree that anyone can achieve 1% in a month due to luck, I sincerely doubt that my overall equity curve is just lucky.
I’ll be hosting a webinar next month to discuss the strategy. While the execution is 100% algoritma, the portfolio selection is not. I’m still a trader. The key difference is that I don’t have to babysit positions.