Here’s a list of all the trades you wish you made in 2015. What good is a list like this?
Because it helps you find the best trades next year!
Let’s dive in.
1-EUR/USD, April 13, Daily
On April 13th after a marathon of negotiations and concessions it seemed that Greece will eventually not leave the Eurozone after all and the abyss was averted. Sensing an opportunity to buy the Euro at its lows, hedge funds, big banks and other institutions began to buy billions of Euros. The EUR/USD jumped more than 900 pips in 3 weeks.
2- XAU/USD, October 28, Daily
After some tentative signs of improvement in the US economy, on October 23rd the big movers on the Gold market reached the conclusion that the Fed would raise rates before 2015 ends. This leads to a massive selloff in XAU/USD contracts with Gold melting $100 off its price.
3- USD/JPY, May 18, Daily
On May 18th, after soft data from Japan, traders concluded that the Bank of Japan was about to amp up its efforts to weaken the Yen further. Meanwhile the US Dollar was looking solid. Traders responded to this situation by massive bullish bets on the USD/JPY, pushing the pair 600 pips higher.
4-USD/JPY, August 19, Daily
Shortly after traders were almost certain that the Bank of Japan would act to weaken the Yen, their hopes were dispelled. The BoJ decided not to act and USD/JPY bulls were caught off guard. On August 19th a panic selloff on the USD/JPY began and the pair plunged from 124 to 116 in the space of 4 days.
5- AUD/USD, September 29, Daily
After being sold heavily for several weeks AUD/USD selling reaches an exhaustion point. The threat from a slowing China on the Aussie dollar now seems fully priced in the pair and appetite for selling diminishes gradually. On September 29th as sellers move to the fence bulls seize the opportunity and push the pair for a quick rebound above 0.73.
6- Oil, August 24, H4
On August 21st just before the end of summer investors concluded that Oil prices have moved too low too fast. Adding on top of that the tendency for Oil to gain during the winter months investors were expecting a rise in demand. Consequently the bulls pushed oil by $10 a barrel in a very short time span.
7- EUR/GBP, October 9, H4
With data from the Eurozone constantly deteriorating and data from the UK brightening, EUR/GBP traders have begun to bet on more stimulus i.e. easing from the ECB and on the contrary a possible rate hike from the Bank of England. Consequently traders began to short the EUR/GBP, heavily pushing the pair to the 0.7 low.
8- GER30, September 29, H4
As optimism grew over a possible ECB stimulus, appetite for the GER30 (DAX) jumped, pushing the index above 10,000.
9-USD/CAD, January 2, H4
As Oil prices began to slide, the Canadian Dollar, which tends to move in tandem with Oil, moved lower as well. That pushed the USD/CAD by roughly 1000 pips.
10-UK100 (FTSE100), August 13, H4
Selling pressure on miners alongside fears the FTSE100 was in bubbly territory ignited heavy selling in the UK100 contracts (FTSE100) 800 points lower.
11-USD/CHF, October 20, H4
After inflation in Switzerland fell below 0%, traders concluded the Swiss National Bank would be forced to keep its negative interest rates lower for longer. This, of course, makes the CHF a clear sell vs the Dollar which faces the opposite circumstances. The USD/CHF consequently rallied roughly 600 pips.
12-XAU/USD, August 5, H4
When Gold reached the 1080 support zone, Gold traders realized the next stop if the support breaks was 1000 and below. Fearing the possibility that the Fed will eventually fail to raise rates, traders quickly turned from bearish to bullish pushing Gold contracts to trade just shy of $1,172 per ounce.
13-EUR/USD, October 22, H1
On October 22nd, believing that the ECB was about to embark on more stimulus and with solid data coming out of the US strengthening the case for a Fed rate hike, the EUR/USD resumed selling, plunging roughly 500 pips.
14-USD/TRY, August 12, H1
On August 12th Turkish Lira bears were betting more uncertainty for Turkey which of course is highly negative for the Turkish Lira. As a result, the bullish trend on the USD/TRY quickly resumed.
15- GBP/USD, November 5, H1
After realizing a rate hike from the Bank of England was not coming soon and eyeing a Fed rate hike by year’s end, short sellers began to home in on the GBP/USD, with a 350 pips short in less than 24 hours.
16- EUR/JPY, November 16, H1
During mid-November data from Japan was surprisingly negative and ignited safe haven bets that ironically pushed the Yen higher, pushing the EUR/JPY lower.
17- NZD/USD, October 29, H1
On October 29th China announced it is abolishing its one child policy. Since New Zealand’s main export is milk to China, i.e. food for young children, traders immediately figured this was NZD positive and started piling on bullish bets for the NZD/USD.
18-AUD/JPY, June 2, H1
After a hefty selloff, the AUD/JPY became oversold. This generated a classic short squeeze, ignited a wave of buying for the pair pushing it to rise above the 96 level.
19-XAGUSD, October 28, H1
As appetite for precious metals evaporated once again and dollar bullishness resumed, Silver spot price (XAG) was pushed lower from $16 per ounce to just above $14 per ounce.
20- Oil, November 4, H1
With EIA stockpiles on the rise Oil traders returned to bearishness once more. Short selling resumed around the 48-49 area and pushed WTI Oil to trade as low as $ 42.37 per barrel.
21- USD/NOK, September 21, H1
After the USD/NOK bottomed out on September 17th bearish momentum was exhausted, largely due to fading Oil demand. On September 21st with the dollar looking bullish, traders returned to the long term bullish trend for the pair, pushing it above the 8.5 level.
22- EUR/GBP, August 5, H1
23- USNASDAQ100, October 1, H1
As the third quarter ended, traders were expecting a robust earnings season for tech companies. Consequently the USNASDAQ100 CFD contract that replicated the Nasdaq100 index embarked on a bullish run from 4,115 to 4,633.
24- Japan225, May 8, H1
As the Japanese Yen weakened i.e. the USD/JPY moved higher, traders realized that this would be positive for Japanese companies and consequently turned bullish. The Japan225 CFD, which replicated the Nikkei 225, gained roughly 1200 points.
25-AUD/NZD, September 24, H1
Between the Aussie and the Kiwi, the Aussie is the most sensitive to bad news coming from China. So when traders began to be pessimistic on China, they followed by shorting the Aussie vs the Kiwi, pushing the pair lower.
26- USD/CHF, July 31, H1
27-EUR/USD, August 24, H1
Towards the end of August, the EUR/USD topped out for the year. Markets once again turned risk averse; traders began piling in on safe haven currencies such as the Dollar and the Yen and sold risk currencies such as the Euro or the Aussie. Consequently, the bearish trend for the pair resumed, pushing it lower by roughly 600 pips.